Rio Branco Acre vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAU
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
REC
6 - 0
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
RIO
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 2
REC
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
4 - 2
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
LIT
4 - 2
FFL
7%
14%
80%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 0
INT
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 0
FFL
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 2
BRU
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |