Rio Branco Acre vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
AND
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
INT
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 6
CRZ
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
RIO
22%
21%
57%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
2 - 1
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEB
1 - 2
ECN
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 3
FRA
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |