Rio Branco Acre vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
RIO
16%
19%
66%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 4
MAN
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
BAR
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 3
RIO
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 1
MAN
10%
16%
73%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 2
SAN
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
ECM
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 1
BAR
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
ECM
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |