Rio Branco Acre vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
RIO
22%
21%
57%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
IND
79%
13%
8%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 2
RIO
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 2
RIO
18%
20%
63%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
AME
88%
10%
3%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DEM
0 - 2
CRZ
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 4
CRZ
10%
17%
73%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 0
TUP
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GUA
89%
8%
2%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | -1 |