Rio Branco Acre vs Baré EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 3
RIO
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 0
GAL
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
GAL
2 - 2
RIO
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 0
ATL
40%
24%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 0
SCH
69%
16%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 2
BAR
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAO
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 3
BAR
21%
19%
60%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
PRO
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |