Rio Branco SP vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 3
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 2
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
RIO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
AUD
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
XVD
0 - 2
RBB
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 0
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 2
XVD
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
XVD
1 - 1
SEP
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
XVD
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |