Rio Branco SP vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 3
JAB
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
4 - 1
FER
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
RIO
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
JAB
2 - 0
RIO
13%
22%
66%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
AMP
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 0
PEN
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
PEN
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
SJS
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |