Rio Branco SP vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
VOT
4 - 1
RIO
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
2 - 0
PEN
21%
23%
57%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 0
PEN
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |