Rio Branco SP vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
RIO
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 3
GRE
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 2
ECN
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ECN
2 - 0
RIO
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
PAU
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GDS
1 - 0
PAU
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 1
GDS
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PAU
3 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |