Rio Branco SP vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAP
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 1
MAN
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
RIO
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
RIO
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 2
ATI
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
CAP
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
DES
1 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |