Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Rio Branco SP vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 2
RIO
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
DES
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
TAB
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 2
NAC
23%
24%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAO
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
INT
1 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |