Rio Branco SP vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
VOT
4 - 1
RIO
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAU
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
TAU
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |