Rio Branco SP vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
XVD
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
XVD
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |