Rio Branco SP vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
RIO
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
RIO
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |