Rio Branco SP vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
2 - 0
RIO
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 2
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
RIO
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FER
3 - 2
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 2
NOV
44%
24%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
0 - 2
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |