Rio Branco SP vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
RIO
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
JAB
2 - 0
RIO
13%
22%
66%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 0
GDS
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 2
AMP
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
RIO
16%
18%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
RIO
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GDS
3 - 1
FER
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
JAB
47%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TAN
2 - 0
FER
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |