Rio Branco SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
CAP
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 3
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 2
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
COM
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
RBB
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |