Rio Branco SP vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 1
MAN
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
RIO
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
RIO
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 3
BER
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ATI
2 - 0
RIO
36%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CAP
2 - 1
BER
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
CAP
32%
26%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MOG
1 - 2
CAP
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAP
0 - 0
ATI
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 3
CAP
23%
24%
54%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |