Rio Branco SP vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 1
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
RBB
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
XVD
3 - 2
RIO
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AUD
0 - 3
ATL
53%
23%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAO
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 3
AUD
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 0
SEP
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
AUD
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |