Rio Branco PR vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOZ
2 - 2
RIO
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
5 - 1
OPE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
COT
3 - 3
RIO
75%
18%
7%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
LON
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
RIO
66%
22%
12%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 0
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
TCW
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
TCW
71%
21%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 2
COT
9%
19%
73%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | +1 |