Rio Branco PR vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
RIO
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JMA
2 - 2
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
ATP
13%
20%
68%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
PRU
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 1
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JMA
3 - 1
TCW
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TCW
0 - 2
CIA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PRU
1 - 0
TCW
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TCW
1 - 2
LON
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ATP
0 - 1
TCW
85%
12%
3%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +1 |