Rio Branco PR vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
RIO
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
CIA
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
3 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
JMA
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TCW
3 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATP
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 2
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |