Rio Branco PR vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
RIO
85%
12%
4%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACP
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
IRA
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 4
COT
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 0
JMA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COT
3 - 0
ROM
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 1
ROM
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
CIA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |