Rio Branco PR vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CCR
1 - 0
RIO
19%
22%
60%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOZ
39%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
OPE
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
LON
2 - 1
RIO
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 2
ATP
12%
23%
65%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
LON
1 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LON
1 - 2
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 5
PAR
9%
20%
71%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
ATP
22%
29%
49%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |