Rio Branco PR vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
RIO
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
LON
36%
25%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
RIO
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PRU
0 - 2
RIO
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
ATP
12%
20%
69%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
NPR
79%
16%
5%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 3
JMA
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAS
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |