Rio Branco PR vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
RIO
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATP
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 3
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
LON
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
NPR
83%
12%
4%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 3
CIA
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 0
NPR
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |