Rio Branco PR vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
3 - 0
PST
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIO
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CIA
2 - 1
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
RIO
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 1
TCW
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
COT
0 - 0
JMA
74%
18%
9%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JMA
3 - 2
TCW
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
JMA
1 - 0
PRU
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
JMA
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
JMA
2 - 1
CIA
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |