Rio Branco PR vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
RIO
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
RIO
85%
12%
4%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACP
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
CIA
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
JMA
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
0 - 1
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
OPE
4 - 1
JMA
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 0
JMA
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |