Paranaense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Rio Branco PR vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
CIA
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
RIO
69%
19%
11%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
TCW
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 2
COT
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COT
2 - 2
PRU
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
COT
2 - 1
OPE
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TCW
1 - 3
COT
12%
21%
68%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |