Rio Branco PR vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
RIO
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
CIA
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
3 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
84%
12%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
COT
3 - 1
ACP
88%
10%
3%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
COT
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |