Rio Branco PR vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
70%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CIA
2 - 0
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 2
OPE
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 0
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CCR
2 - 2
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAR
16%
22%
61%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
COT
5 - 0
IRA
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
COT
9%
17%
75%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CCR
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
COT
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
ACP
81%
14%
6%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |