Rio Branco PR vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
68.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
RIO
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
PST
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
TCW
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOZ
2 - 2
RIO
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
5 - 1
OPE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COR
0 - 0
ATP
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ATP
2 - 0
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATP
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 2
ATP
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |