Rio Branco PR vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
PRU
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 1
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LON
0 - 1
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 1
ATP
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 1
OPE
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ATP
0 - 1
TCW
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PRU
0 - 0
ATP
7%
16%
77%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ATP
5 - 1
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |