Rio Branco PR vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
65.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 3
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 7
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CIA
3 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 0
OPE
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
ATP
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 1
JMA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LON
2 - 0
ATP
19%
23%
57%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |