Rio Branco PR vs AA Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAR
25%
26%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GEM
1 - 4
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
59%
21%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AA Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
IGU
2 - 0
PFC
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ACP
4 - 1
IGU
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 2
APU
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
IGU
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 0
CAB
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |