Rio Branco MG vs Social analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 0
RBR
88%
10%
3%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
RBR
3 - 1
USC
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 0
DEM
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
AMF
1 - 0
RBR
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 2
RBR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Social
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AMF
0 - 0
SOC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 2
DEM
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
UBE
1 - 0
SOC
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
0 - 3
ATM
9%
18%
74%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CRZ
5 - 0
SOC
95%
5%
1%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |