Rio Branco ES vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
0 - 3
RIO
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 3
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
DES
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
RVV
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 0
RIO
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
ECT
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
DES
1 - 1
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 1
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |