Rio Branco ES vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 2
RIO
8%
15%
77%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 4
RIO
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
RVV
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NVE
3 - 0
RIO
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
NVE
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
RVV
43%
24%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
REA
0 - 2
SER
52%
23%
26%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
REA
31%
24%
46%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |