Capixaba Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Rio Branco ES vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
REA
3 - 2
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
6 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
EST
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 5
SER
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
EST
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
23%
23%
55%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |