Capixaba Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Rio Branco ES vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
REA
3 - 2
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
6 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
REA
1 - 0
DES
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
REA
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
REA
3 - 2
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 2
REA
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REA
2 - 2
ECT
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |