Rio Branco ES vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
RIO
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
BOA
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RVV
0 - 0
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
FER
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 0
AGU
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
RIO
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PAT
70%
20%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CAL
36%
28%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
AGU
4 - 1
PAT
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 3
BOA
31%
30%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |