Rio Branco ES vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
DES
3 - 1
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
SER
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 2
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
VIT
26%
23%
50%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
RVV
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
EST
3 - 2
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |