Rio Branco ES vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
0 - 3
RIO
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 3
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
DES
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
RVV
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
RVV
21%
22%
58%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
REA
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
1 - 2
EST
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
CAS
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |