Rio Branco ES vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 2
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NVE
1 - 0
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
TOM
2 - 1
RIO
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
RIO
8%
19%
73%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
RVV
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DES
1 - 0
VIT
20%
23%
58%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DES
3 - 0
VFC
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
RVV
39%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
0 - 0
DES
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DES
2 - 0
POR
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |