Rio Branco ES vs Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
EST
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
0 - 3
RIO
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 3
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 4
VIT
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
0 - 0
CAS
14%
17%
70%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
DES
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 1
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 4
RVV
24%
23%
54%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |