Capixaba Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Rio Branco-VN vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
RVV
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
RVV
39%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
0 - 0
DES
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
2 - 1
VIT
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
RVV
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
RVV
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
REA
2 - 4
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
REA
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
2 - 1
VIT
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
JAG
59%
20%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |