Rio Branco-VN vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
RVV
1 - 0
RIO
48%
22%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 0
RVV
30%
22%
48%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
RVV
2 - 2
REA
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
REA
2 - 2
RVV
30%
22%
48%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RVV
3 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
REA
1 - 2
SER
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 2
REA
30%
22%
48%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
EST
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DES
2 - 0
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RVV
5 - 1
SER
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |