Rio Branco-VN vs São Mateus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
RVV
15%
19%
66%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 1
RIO
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
RVV
26%
22%
52%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
RVV
3 - 0
REA
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
RVV
1 - 1
ABC
37%
23%
40%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
DES
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 0
SAO
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
SER
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
0 - 3
SAO
88%
9%
2%
|
32 | 73 | 41 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
REA
2 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |