Rio Branco-VN vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
3 - 1
RVV
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
0 - 0
FER
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 2
AGU
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
RVV
31%
27%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
1 - 0
UBE
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
UBE
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
PAT
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
FER
17%
27%
56%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |