Rio Branco-VN vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
35%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 2
AGU
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
RVV
31%
27%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
1 - 0
UBE
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
RVV
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RVV
3 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
RIO
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
FER
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
FER
17%
27%
56%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
BOA
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 0
FER
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |